Casetas vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 2
UDC
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDC
1 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
3 - 3
UDC
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 0
PEN
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDC
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDM
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 5
UDM
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
2 - 1
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
2 - 0
SAB
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |