Casetas vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAA
1 - 0
UDC
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 3
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 1
TAR
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
UDC
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 5
ZAR
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ICF
3 - 1
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BIN
0 - 2
ICF
32%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ROB
0 - 0
ICF
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ICF
4 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
CFB
2 - 1
ICF
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |