Casetas vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
UDC
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 2
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
UDC
11%
19%
69%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
UDC
20%
23%
58%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
CDM
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 6
FRA
7%
16%
77%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
FRA
16%
21%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
FRA
12%
19%
68%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAB
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |