Casetas vs El Gancho CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAA
2 - 1
UDC
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UDC
3 - 5
SAD
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CFJ
0 - 3
UDC
42%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UDC
3 - 0
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
UDC
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
El Gancho CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 2
MOR
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 0
GAN
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
GUR
1 - 4
GAN
32%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GAN
4 - 1
GAL
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CFA
3 - 0
GAN
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |