Casetas vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDC
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDC
4 - 1
CFV
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 0
LAA
34%
24%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 2
UDC
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 3
AND
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
CDM
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
CEL
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 2
CEL
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 2
ACF
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATC
6 - 1
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |