Casetas vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UDC
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UDC
3 - 3
COM
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 2
UDC
54%
26%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UDC
1 - 1
ZAR
28%
27%
44%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UDC
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 3
ATB
28%
30%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ATB
2 - 0
CUL
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 1
ATB
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SSR
2 - 1
ATB
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |