Casetas vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
UDC
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 1
SDB
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDM
7 - 1
UDC
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDC
5 - 0
REM
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
UDC
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ATC
0 - 0
MOR
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CFV
0 - 0
ATC
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATC
2 - 0
CFV
36%
26%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
ATC
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATC
0 - 2
UDS
25%
24%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |