Casetas vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
BIN
4 - 1
UDC
69%
21%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDC
0 - 3
ATL
16%
24%
61%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACF
3 - 2
UDC
69%
19%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
UDC
2 - 3
FIG
36%
29%
35%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
EJE
3 - 1
UDC
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
ATC
2 - 3
UFC
24%
27%
50%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATC
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ATC
1 - 0
ICF
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
AND
3 - 2
ATC
72%
19%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ATC
2 - 2
ZUE
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |