Casetas vs Ad Rivas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CFH
2 - 4
UDC
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
UDC
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UDC
1 - 0
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
UDC
15%
24%
61%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UDC
6 - 0
LAL
62%
21%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ad Rivas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ADR
0 - 2
CDC
34%
24%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |