Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
AKR
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
CAS
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAT
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
FRA
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
CAT
37%
28%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BIS
2 - 1
FRA
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |