Casertana vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SOR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ISC
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
GAV
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUT
0 - 1
VIG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 1
USF
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |