Casertana vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 4
TUR
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 3
TER
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
USF
1 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
USF
26%
26%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
USF
1 - 2
AVE
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 1
USF
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
USF
1 - 3
BIS
83%
13%
5%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |