Casertana vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 1
CAS
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
BRI
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
USB
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 2
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 0
BIS
41%
26%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FBC
2 - 0
SOR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 1
ASD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
SOR
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 1
ASF
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |