Casertana vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
REN
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 4
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SIR
1 - 0
RIE
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIR
3 - 0
USV
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 2
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SIR
3 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 0
SIR
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |