Casertana vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 0
CAS
22%
22%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SSD
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POM
1 - 3
CAS
19%
20%
62%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
LRO
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RAG
2 - 1
RAA
25%
22%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
USC
1 - 1
RAA
29%
25%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
RAA
4 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACI
0 - 0
RAA
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAA
0 - 2
LAT
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |