Casertana vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
COM
1 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
29%
32%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAT
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
3 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CAT
3 - 3
REG
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
REG
1 - 6
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |