Casertana vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAS
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
CAS
2 - 2
PES
34%
31%
36%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
CES
1 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEC
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
PIS
0 - 0
PIA
75%
18%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 2
UDI
31%
29%
39%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
PES
1 - 1
PIA
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 3
CES
39%
30%
31%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |