Casertana vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAS
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 3
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 0
PES
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 3
ASC
28%
23%
48%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
NAP
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 4
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
PRG
2 - 1
USC
43%
33%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |