Casertana vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAT
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
CAS
1 - 0
REG
39%
22%
39%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
TOR
4 - 1
PRG
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PRG
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |