Casertana vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
PIS
3 - 1
CAS
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
REG
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
COM
1 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
29%
32%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 0
TER
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
MAS
1 - 1
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |