Casertana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
JUS
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 2
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
PAL
22%
28%
51%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 0
RPO
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USF
0 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAG
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 3
JUS
21%
26%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |