Casertana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASM
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |