Casertana vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
BIS
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
ASD
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOC
3 - 0
SOR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 2
NOC
55%
26%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |