Casertana vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
TUT
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
CAS
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |