Casertana vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
CAS
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
USF
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JUS
2 - 2
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
NUO
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 2
MAT
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
FIA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MAT
29%
25%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
VNZ
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |