Casertana vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
TAR
44%
27%
28%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAS
71%
20%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
ARZ
4 - 1
CAS
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
34%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
PIS
0 - 0
LIV
47%
30%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 1
TAR
44%
33%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
38%
33%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |