Casertana vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
USP
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
TUT
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 1
ISC
19%
24%
57%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
GAV
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 0
RAA
45%
26%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
GAV
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
3 - 2
TUT
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |