Casertana vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRG
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
JUV
6 - 2
CAS
97%
2%
1%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAL
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
PAL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |