Casertana vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
EMP
2 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
3 - 1
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
COM
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAV
1 - 5
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
INT
4 - 1
FCC
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
3 - 1
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |