Casertana vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MAS
2 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 1
BRE
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAN
33%
30%
36%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAN
35%
36%
29%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
50%
31%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAS
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |