Casertana vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
HYR
2 - 0
CAS
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
61%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
SOR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASF
3 - 3
AUD
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASF
5 - 2
FBC
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
ASF
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASF
3 - 2
VIR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BIS
3 - 4
ASF
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |