Casertana vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAS
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASS
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
TER
2 - 0
CAS
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MAS
2 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
COM
40%
31%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |