Casertana vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RAA
1 - 2
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 2
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
USP
54%
25%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
NUO
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TUT
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |