Casertana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
JUS
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAS
27%
28%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 0
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
CAT
22%
29%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 0
VER
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
USF
1 - 3
CAT
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |