Casertana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
USA
3 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
USA
35%
28%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 2
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 1
FON
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 2
SIC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JUS
0 - 0
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAT
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |