Casertana vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCS
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
CAS
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 2
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 3
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OLG
1 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |