Casertana vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
CAS
3 - 0
TAR
37%
31%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
COS
2 - 0
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
BRE
35%
33%
32%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
BOL
0 - 1
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |