Casertana vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
61%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
SOR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 1
CAS
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
BRI
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
2 - 2
BIS
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 0
MOL
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
ASD
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
MOL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 4
ASF
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |