Casertana vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
TER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
APR
2 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASM
47%
25%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASM
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TER
0 - 2
ASM
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |