Casertana vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
APR
4 - 1
CAS
15%
20%
66%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
ACC
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
CAS
17%
23%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
SOR
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASI
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HYR
1 - 2
ARZ
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
APR
1 - 3
ARZ
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ARZ
3 - 2
ACC
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |