Casertana vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
CAS
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAT
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
USA
3 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AKR
2 - 0
PAG
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AKR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AKR
2 - 3
REN
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
AKR
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SIC
3 - 1
AKR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |