Caselas vs Verín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PON
1 - 3
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
UDO
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDA
1 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Verín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
PON
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDO
2 - 2
VER
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 0
UDA
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
VER
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |