Cascavel FC vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
COT
4%
11%
86%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
CIA
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FOZ
2 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 1
ATP
10%
23%
67%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEU
2 - 0
TCW
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PRU
0 - 0
TCW
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 0
LON
11%
19%
71%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 4
TCW
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |