Série D Brazil Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-3
Cascavel FC vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAN
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
FER
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
5 - 2
CAS
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 3
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
JEC
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
NOV
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PEL
4 - 3
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |