Cascavel FC vs Nacional PR analysis

Cascavel FC Nacional PR
45 ELO 37
-12.2% Tilt -16.1%
2302º General ELO ranking 23259º
75º Country ELO ranking 598º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Cascavel FC
23.5%
Draw
18.8%
Nacional PR

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
Cascavel FC
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.8%
Win probability
Nacional PR
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cascavel FC
+8%
+55%
Nacional PR

ELO progression

Cascavel FC
Nacional PR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cascavel FC
Cascavel FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2015
CAS
Cascavel FC
1 - 0
Rio Branco PR
RIO
30%
25%
45%
44 50 6 0
08 Feb. 2015
JMA
J. Malucelli
0 - 0
Cascavel FC
CAS
66%
20%
14%
43 53 10 +1
05 Feb. 2015
PAR
Paraná
0 - 0
Cascavel FC
CAS
81%
14%
5%
43 67 24 0
01 Feb. 2015
CAS
Cascavel FC
0 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
8%
17%
76%
42 79 37 +1
25 Oct. 2014
CAS
Cascavel FC
2 - 1
Nacional PR
NPR
48%
26%
27%
41 42 1 +1

Matches

Nacional PR
Nacional PR
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2015
NPR
Nacional PR
1 - 3
Maringá
GRE
22%
24%
54%
39 52 13 0
08 Feb. 2015
FOZ
Foz do Iguaçu
4 - 2
Nacional PR
NPR
46%
26%
29%
41 38 3 -2
04 Feb. 2015
LON
Londrina
1 - 0
Nacional PR
NPR
70%
19%
11%
41 55 14 0
31 Jan. 2015
NPR
Nacional PR
1 - 2
Coritiba
COT
8%
18%
74%
41 79 38 0
25 Oct. 2014
CAS
Cascavel FC
2 - 1
Nacional PR
NPR
48%
26%
27%
42 41 1 -1