Cascavel FC vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIA
2 - 1
CAS
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FOZ
0 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
COT
6%
13%
81%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
JMA
3 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIO
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
LON
2 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
RIO
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LON
3 - 0
PST
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 1
LON
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TCW
2 - 1
LON
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |