Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 0-9
Cascavel FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRU
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIO
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ATP
4 - 0
CAS
85%
12%
3%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAR
12%
18%
71%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
COT
2 - 0
PST
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TCW
2 - 4
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
JMA
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |