Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 0-3
Cascavel FC vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
CAS
24%
27%
48%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAS
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
CAS
24%
27%
48%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
POR
27%
30%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
CIA
39%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 0
BAN
54%
27%
20%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIA
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |