Cascavel CR vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
CCR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
ARA
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
CCR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
CCR
88%
9%
2%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 1
CCR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
IRA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 2
JMA
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |