Cascavel CR vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CCR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
CIA
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CCR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CCR
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 2
IRA
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 3
ATP
14%
23%
64%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 2
ACP
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |